NHL Playoffs Series & Prices

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fbi
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Pinnacle as of a few minutes ago:

Boston -155 vs Caps +132

TB -138 vs Flor +118

Pens -129 vs NYI +110

Canes -237 vs Preds +198

Any other series or prices (e.g. game handicap odds, # of games) were not yet up.
 
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fbi
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Pinnacle has some more lines up now:

Boston -1.5 games +116 vs Caps +1.5 games -136

TB -1.5 games +136 vs Florida +1.5 games -156

Pens -1.5 games +156 vs NYI +1.5 games -185

Canes -1.5 games -133 vs Preds +1.5 games +114
 

skins85

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Value in caps, really like the 1.5 games.

fla is dangerous and Tampa has not impressed this year.

canes should roll preds

islanders Pitt is a toss up to me. Will be cheering nyi
 
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fbi
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Series Wager:

Boston -1½ games +114 over WASHINGTON

7:15 PM EST. Look at the metrics and this series looks like a close one, as these two were almost identical in Expected Goals Per 60, High Danger Scoring Chances and High Danger Chances allowed. That’s nice, it really is but those metrics cover the entire 56-game schedule and therefore doesn’t take into consideration current form. In that respect, it’s not close and it’s not in Washington's favor.

Since the trade deadline and with Taylor Hall, Curtis Lazar and Mike Reilly in the lineup, the Bruins have been nothing short of elite. Over that span, no team in the NHL had a better expected goals rate than Boston. The B’s took a bottom-five offense and turned it into a top-10 unit without sacrificing anything on defense. Since April 1, a span of six weeks covering 20 games, the Bruins rank 3rd in the NHL In puck possession time in the offensive end during five-on-five play while the Caps rank 13th over that same span.

Then we have the intangibles. Over the past few weeks, the Caps have dealt with a number of injuries to key players like Alex Ovechkin, John Carlson, T.J. Oshie, Nicklas Backstrom, Evgeny Kuznetsov, Ilya Samsonov and Justin Schultz. A cohort of the banged-up Caps have returned but in what figures to be a physical series, these nagging injuries could easily be triggered into something worse. The Bruins are healthy while the Caps are sorta healthy.

Finally, what decides the outcome of NHL games more than anything else? Puck possession time? No. Shots on net or scoring chances? No. What decides games more than anything is goaltending and even if we were to concede that the skaters on both these teams make this series a tossup, even though we don’t believe that for a second), one must give the Bruins a significant edge in goal.

Ilya Samsonov entered the season as the starter but dude underwhelmed with a .902 save percentage and a -6.67 Goals Saved Above Expectation (GSAx) in 19 games. Peter Laviolette’s other option is playing rookie Vitek Vanecek. He played admirably in 37 games, but his numbers were below average (.907 SV%, -8.45 GSAx), and this will be his first go-round in the postseason. Said one scout,” “Huge advantage Bruins. I’m not disrespecting Washington. But there’s something off here. Maybe their best goalie is Craig Anderson. Seriously. Maybe they should have played him more.” Meanwhile, proven playoff goaltender Tuukka Rask and sensational rookie Jeremy Swayman give Boston stable, reliable goaltending that the Caps cannot match.

While most “experts” see this as a close series, we do not and we might even sprinkle a bit on the 4-game sweep at 10-1 but for record keeping purposes, give us the B’s in six or less and we’ll see you at the cashier's real soon.
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Someone's opinion, FYI & consideration.
Fade or follow or lay off. BOL whatever you do.


"Past Performance Is No Guarantee of Future Results"
"Past success is no guarantee of future success"
 

Ricboff

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trouble? no Tavares and its bye bye Leafs. Very unfortunate, feel for John. Took less money to play for his childhood team, was having a great yr . Cant win in this league with a loss of a star player unless you r super deep, even then it better not be an elite dee/c . TB did it with Stamkos, but TB is a more complete team than Tororto and Stamkos plays the wing not the much more demanding C position. Again , scary sight yesterday he has a wife and kids .

on another note-- classic Leafs playoff lineup. This is a team that doesnt have to change anything, you're the fav, you're the better team. BUT, what do the Leafs do?

a)- the 4th line was a newly created line, they never played as a line during the reg., season, lol
b) they started a player than hadnt played all yr with this team sitting a guy that helped define that 3rd line . In addition said player hadnt played a game since early April,lol!! so not only is he out of sorts but also no establised chemsitry with new linemates. WHY was Nash dressed? WHY mess with success? not a chance that's Keefe's call-- gotta be the fuckin GM, i'd bet on it, control freak.

great game by Price what a fuckin save on Marner in the 3rd!!
 

exploited17

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Just 1 game. But the fact is Canadiens outplayed them and wanted it more. Outhit them 55-27 and blocked more shots. If you are the less talented team that is how you win in the playoffs. That or a hot goalie
That is why hockey is far superior to basketball playoffs. More of an unknown on who is gonna win
 

Ricboff

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I did not expect the Leafs to play so tight-- clear as day. They had THREE delay of game penalties , not seen all yr. Also , their older players whom one would expect leadership from ? Spezaa had two dumb penalties and Thornton's half ass effort on the SH goal that won it. Even without Tavares the Leafs r better than Mtl but goign on the way without Tavares? Kerfoot is second line centre,lol, Leafs are a top 2 line heavy team. And certainly if they intend on playing Nash and leaving that 4th line as is, the battle to win this series is going to be just that, a battle

with no tavares , its time for their elite 3 players to step up. They have failed repeatedely in this position (playoff 1st round). Lack of experience can no longer be the excuse-- its your floor Marner, Nylander and...Mathews
 

Ricboff

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Looks like the experiment with Riley Nash is done ,lol.Why did the Leafs use a guy that hasn't played with the team all yr and hadnt played in a game since April(with Columbus) ? Cause they're the Leafs face)(*^%.....two regulars r back in the lineup ,lol. Replacing Tavares as second line center is Foligno - they add galchenyuk back on that line (he had played on it for the last 20 games or so ...1st game of playoffs took him of it,lol!

Foligno is obviously no Tavares but this is decent .engvall back on the 3rd line , he had been a 3rd line stalwart for nearly the entire season, yet sat 1st game of the playoffs ,lol

These changes r likely as seen in practice .
 
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fbi
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...let us offer up the canadiens, who are taking back such a ridiculous number today that it cannot be ignored. Sure the maple leafs were spotting a bigger price in game 1, but that was with john tavares in the lineup and before their heads started spinning, all due respect to jt.

[FONT=arial !important]while games of the past do not predict the future, we could not help but think back to the leafs' series with boston in 2018 and 2019. You may remember that toronto center nazem kadri was suspended in both, and the leafs would go on to lose both with kadri on the sidelines when they were in full control with him in the lineup. 2019 was particularly painful, as the leafs had full command of the series until kadri was ejected for the remainder of the series jt is the best second line center in the league and his absence cannot be understated. With jt out, coach sheldon keefe was leaning hard on his top line and one has to wonder if it is reasonable for auston matthews and company to shoulder that load. Or for nick foligno to stand in place of the leafs’ captain, as he did in practice prior to game 2. One only has to point to the jets and their masterclass on how to shut down a superstar center to see what happens when a top line gets neutered.

[/FONT][FONT=arial !important]all year, the north division was the wild west with goals coming in bunches, but these are the playoffs and this is a different game. First, you need a goalie and while carey price was lacklustre for most of the season, he flicked that switch that great goalies seem to find when the stakes are the highest. Who do the leafs have to answer price save for save? Jack campbell who is now 0-1 in his playoff career and gave up the game winning short-handed goal.

[/FONT][FONT=arial !important]we don't envy campbell's predicament. After all, this is his first rodeo in the center of the universe and he must carry the weight of a starved hockey nation that has not tasted even the faintest of playoff success in nearly 20 years. A game 1 loss, even by a slim 2-1 margin now has the masses saying "i told you so." if winning hockey games came down to just luck and skill, surely the leafs would have won a series sometime since 2004, but the longer that streak goes, the harder it seems to overcome. When your fanbase and the media are on the edge of their seats waiting for doomsday, that has to weigh on a team. A massive seed of doubt has been planted once again. It's hard to explain but that black cloud can hang over a team. Just look at the red sox or cubs before their curse-busting championships. How many times did you read or hear about bill buckner or that fucking goat? Are the leafs cursed? It wouldn't be the first time. Rather than go on, we'll leave you with a lyric from the great gord downie. Enjoy the game.

[/FONT][FONT=arial !important]"bill barilko disappeared that summer, he was on a fishing trip, the last goal he ever scored, won the leafs the cup, they didn't win another till 1962, the year he was discovered"

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fbi
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[font=arial !important]the preds are “back in this series” because of some extreme help from the refs. We’re not sure what the fuck is going on but the refs called eight penalties on the ‘canes in game 3 and seven in game 2. That’s 15 minors called against carolina over the past two games and four over that same span called against nashville.

[/font]said rod brind’amour:

[font=arial !important]“we played our butts off. Played great. Played hard. We’re playing a great team. I didn’t say it, but we’re in a battle. Like i said, nashville is a phenomenal team, but we’re also fighting the refs. Plain and simple. You can’t tell me two games in a row we get 15 and they get three. And when the game’s this even? That’s not right. That’s not right. I give my guys tons of credit for just sticking with it and going and playing their butts off and having a good chance to win. We still had a chance to win coming back. It wasn’t right. Two overtimes and a knick-knack penalty when there was stuff going on all over the ice? It just flipped the momentum and they scored on the next shift after because we were out of rotation. That’s not how it should go. I didn’t tell them that, but i’m proud of my group because they just battled."

[/font][font=arial !important]despite having to kill off eight penalties, the ‘canes still out-chanced nashville 31-29. Despite playing almost what would be a full period shorthanded two games in a row, the ‘canes have outshot and out-chanced the predators. Perhaps this is some sick attempt by the nhl to try and make this series more evenly matched than it should be or maybe it’s just an anomaly but regardless, that’s the only reason this series is 2-1 and not 3-0 in carolina's favor. We’ll repeat, this series is a complete and utter mismatch and we’ll therefore come right back on the hurricanes.
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